Jumps in stock prices: New insights from old data
نویسندگان
چکیده
We characterize jump dynamics in U.S. stock market returns using a novel series of intraday prices covering almost 90 years. Jump vary substantially over time. Trends activity relate to secular shifts the nature news. Unscheduled news often involving major wars drives early decades, whereas scheduled and especially pertaining monetary policy recent decades. variation measures forecast excess returns, consistent with theory. Results support models featuring separate factor, such that risk premium are not fully captured by volatility state variables. • analyze long-horizon returns. use long history intradaily price data. show incidence rates considerably time period encompassing nearly most equity historically. The proportion jumps attributable announcements – increases markedly connect time-variation premium. positively aggregate theoretical time-varying risk. Our results jump–diffusion decouple from those diffusive return variation.
منابع مشابه
A New Test for Jumps in Asset Prices
This paper proposes a new test for the presence of jumps in asset prices. The test is derived from a direct application of Itô’s lemma to the semi-martingale process of asset prices. Intuitively, the proposed test measures the impact of jumps on the third and higher order return moments and is also directly related to the profit/loss function of a variance swap replication strategy. We derive i...
متن کاملRegime Jumps in Electricity Prices
Electricity prices are known to be very volatile and subject to frequent jumps due to system breakdown, demand shocks, and inelastic supply. As many international electricity markets are in some state of deregulation, more and more participants in these markets are exposed to these stylised facts. Appropriate pricing, portfolio, and risk management models should incorporate these facts. Authors...
متن کاملOld Concepts, New Insights
Clinically significant non-major depression has been underinvestigated despite its high prevalence and public health impact. Although there is an increasing recognition of the importance of non-major forms of depression, their nosological boundaries and neurobiological mechanisms remain largely unknown. The authors discuss the literature pertaining to the current concepts, phenomenology, neurob...
متن کاملDo Customers Learn from Stock Prices?
This paper provides evidence that a firm’s stock price movements affect its customer demand. I develop a model in which customers learn about a firm’s product quality partially from its stock price. This learning induces feedback from the price to customer demand. Furthermore, the firm manager adjusts product launch decisions in anticipation of these demand shifts. Consistent with the model’s i...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Markets
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1386-4181', '1878-576X']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100708